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Mortgage Rates

What Elon Musk's 72-HOUR Plan Means for Mortgage Rates

March 03, 20257 min read

What Elon Musk's 72-HOUR Plan Means for Mortgage Rates

I've got some wild news that might change your home-buying plans overnight. Something huge is happening right now, and it could be your ticket to scoring the best mortgage rates in months.

Did you hear about the mass layoffs hitting federal workers? It's not just a government shake-up but reshaping the entire housing market right before our eyes. And at the center of this economic earthquake? None other than Elon Musk.

Let me break down what's happening and why it might be the opportunity you've been waiting for.

Musk's Government Slim-Down Plan

First things first—what exactly is going on? It all starts with the DOGE initiative. No, not the cryptocurrency. The Department of Government Efficiency, Elon Musk's brainchild for trimming government fat.

Since January, this initiative has eliminated a staggering 200,000 federal worker positions. That's bigger than many entire companies. We're talking about a combination of voluntary exits and forced layoffs that's projected to push unemployment up to 4.3% by early 2025.

The human cost is real. Take Charles Fanella, a fired IRS agent from New York, who said: "I don't know what I'm going to do at this point in time. I might have to look to sell my house because I don't have a severance or anything... I feel pretty much devastated."

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The DOGE team claims these cuts could save taxpayers up to $9.2 billion monthly. But watchdogs warn the actual savings might be much lower.

As you might expect, this massive government pruning has politicians taking sides faster than homebuyers at an open house.

Congressional Democrats are absolutely furious. One representative didn't hold back, saying: "This dude is probably one of the most unintelligent billionaires I have ever met or seen or witnessed... this guy is one of the most morally vacant but also just least knowledgeable about these systems that we really know of."

Meanwhile, MAGA Republicans are cheering what they see as Trump's "drain the swamp" crusade

Love it or hate it, it's happening. But here's where things get really interesting for you and me.

The Surprise Housing Impact: Mortgage Rates Taking a Dive

Now for the twist nobody saw coming: these layoffs could push mortgage rates down even further by funneling cash into bond markets.

Here's how it works: When big layoffs happen, unemployment ticks up. That spooks investors, who often move money into safer bonds. That increased demand can drop the 10-year Treasury yield, which is tied directly to mortgage rates.

Goldman Sachs predicts the 10-year yield could plummet 50 basis points if layoffs accelerate. At the same time, they warn that Trump's tariffs could cause inflationary trade wars.

But check this out—mortgage rates recently fell below 6.2% for the first time since August 2024. If you're buying a home or refinancing, this could be your moment to pounce!

And guess what? This is just phase one. Leaked documents show Musk wants 200,000 MORE jobs gone by July. 

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Plus, there are whispers about Tesla's Project Phoenix—a blockchain-based mortgage platform that has Wall Street buzzing.

The Schrödinger Housing Market

Celebrity real estate broker Mauricio Yansky calls today's market a "Schrödinger market" because prices are up in some areas, down in others. Brand new data shows:

  • 19% more $1 million+ listings in DC

  • 14% fewer middle-class home sales

  • 33% of luxury sellers caving to buyer demands like contingencies

mortgage rates

It's almost like the market exists in two states simultaneously (just like Schrödinger's famous cat). While high-end homes flood the market, middle-class spots are stalling out. And Musk's layoffs may be at the center of it all.

For first-time home buyers and new investors, this split creates both challenges and opportunities. Those looking in the luxury market might find sellers more willing to negotiate, while those shopping in the middle range might face inventory shortages.

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The Fed Factor

The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on all this, and history gives us some clues about what might happen next.

In 2008, a 1% rise in jobless rates led to a 1.38% drop in mortgage rates. And in 2020, when unemployment hit 10.2%, home loan rates fell to record lows near 3.13%.

If this wave of government layoffs grows and jobless claims soar above 287,000 a week, the Fed might step in with rate cuts. That's great news if you're borrowing money, but terrible if you're looking for a job.

Regional Housing Impacts

The layoffs aren't evenly distributed across the country, which means some real estate markets will feel the pain (or opportunity) more than others.

In Washington DC, displaced workers are already moving out. Redfin reports a 22% spike in DC area "motivated seller" listings since January, with half of these homes listed in just the last 30 days. This is panic selling at its peak.

And DC is just the start. Musk is reportedly targeting seven more "deep state" cities next, including San Francisco, Denver, and Austin. Nearby states are bracing for a flood of job seekers and possible house price dips.

Bond Markets and Your Mortgage

We're just 72 hours from the next DOGE layoff wave, and here's a crazy detail most people miss: Every 10,000 layoffs can dump around $450 to $650 million into bond markets thanks to 401K cash-outs.

When bond demand rises, yields drop and so do mortgage rates. It's like a see-saw effect that could work in your favor if you're in the market for a home loan.

Critics say Musk is gaming the system by slashing government jobs so bond markets react and mortgages get cheaper. Others argue it's just standard supply and demand: less money in paychecks means less spending, and the market corrects itself.

Either way, the result could be historic rate drops. And interestingly, Elon is hosting a Tesla mortgage demo days before the next Fed meeting. Coincidence or calculated strike? 

Speaking of calculated moves, Blackstone is buying every foreclosure in Kansas City, betting $20 billion that others' misfortune becomes their 12% return.

Three Ways to Profit Before This Window Closes

So what does this mean for you? If you're interested in real estate investing or just want to make sure you don't miss out, here are three strategic moves to consider:

1. Watch for Refinance Opportunities

Keep your eyes open for rates to suddenly drop. There could be a small window of opportunity here, as rates might bounce back quickly if the Fed decides to clamp down on inflation.

If you already own property, having a system to track these opportunities is crucial. I recommend Epic Blackbook to help you stay ahead of these market shifts with automated alerts and follow-up workflows, ensuring you never miss a profitable refinance moment.

mortgage rates

2. Look for Government Area Deals

Places with high government employment like DC, Northern Virginia, Denver, and Kansas City might see more inventory and lower prices if these layoffs continue.

Finding these property deals takes insider knowledge and connections. That's where Seller Sniper comes in, giving you unlimited access to 280 million contacts without traditional skip tracing costs. This means you can identify motivated sellers in these government-heavy regions before the masses catch on.

3. Stay Alert for Fed Announcements

An emergency Fed meeting could change everything overnight. Watch for rate policy updates closely.

Is This a Housing Bubble or Opportunity?

So is this the start of a housing crash or a golden opportunity? It depends on your position and preparation.

Musk's DOGE initiative is reshaping the American housing market in real-time—causing rapid layoffs, shaking bond markets, and slashing mortgage rates. This creates rare openings for savvy real estate entrepreneurs who understand how to navigate the chaos.

Right now, you've got two choices:

You can sit back and watch these changes unfold, hoping you don't get caught on the wrong side of this economic tsunami (that's what most people will do).

Or you can position yourself to catch this wave at exactly the right moment.

The best real estate tips I can give you right now? Stay informed, be prepared to move quickly when opportunities arise, and don't try to handle this alone. Have systems in place to identify deals and a network to help you evaluate them in the months ahead.


mortgage rates
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Matt Theriault

I have been a full-time creative real estate investor for over 16+ years and now optimizing and creatively maximizing the performance of the portfolio I've built…all the while carving out the time to teach others how to do the same.

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